{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J12GRT1JJ4",
  "slug": "kxcabillionairetax-26nov03",
  "question": "Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "wealth-tax",
    "ballot-initiative",
    "2026-election",
    "billionaire-taxation"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether California places a one-time billionaire wealth tax measure on the November 2026 ballot. Kalshi prices a binary yes/no outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff determination using ABC News and other news sources. Resolution occurs at the November 3, 2026 deadline. The authoritative trigger is legislative or initiative qualification, not passage of the tax itself.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RKPLKCTR83",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.91,
    "implied_probability": 0.91
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RKPLKCTR83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J12GRT1JJ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCABILLIONAIRETAX-26NOV03",
      "question": "Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination based on reporting from ABC News and other news sources regarding whether California holds a one-time tax on billionaires before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the referendum to be \"officially held,\" voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters. Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. The following do NOT constitute \"officially held\": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution). The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even \"none\" for certain special cases.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com",
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            "name": "ABC News",
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          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Al Jazeera English",
            "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/",
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          {
            "name": "BBC News",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS News",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Channel NewsAsia",
            "url": "https://www.channelnewsasia.com/us",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Deutsche Welle",
            "url": "https://www.dw.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "France 24 English",
            "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "local newspapers of record in the relevant jurisdictions",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "NBC News",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "NHK World-Japan",
            "url": "https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/",
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            "name": "official government websites for area",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
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          {
            "name": "relevant Secretary of State office",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "relevant supranational/federal/state/provincial/local election authority for area",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Globe and Mail",
            "url": "https://www.theglobeandmail.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
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          {
            "name": "The South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Times of India",
            "url": "https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "relevant Secretary of State office",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.643,
      "volume_total_usd": 287797.8103,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ballot",
        "billionaire",
        "california",
        "california billionaire wealth",
        "tax",
        "wealth tax"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-J12GRT1JJ4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}