{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
  "slug": "kxcac40-26aug31",
  "question": "Will the CAC 40 reach a specific high value in August 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "cac-40",
    "french-equities",
    "august-2026",
    "price-level",
    "european-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the CAC 40 closing level on the last trading day of August 2026. Kalshi structures six binary strike thresholds from 8,600 to 8,850, each asking whether the index closes at or above that level. Together they imply a probability distribution over the index's closing range for the month. Kalshi staff determination uses TradingView as the authoritative price feed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FQB4W3JCQ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4MH134J5N7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26AUG31-8600",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,600 in August 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,600",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,600: The CAC 40 closing price on the last trading day of August 2026, as reported by TradingView, determines resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T02:06:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,600 from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,600 at any single point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,600 at any point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\nDisclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 4745.07,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8600,
      "question_id": "CMX-1878300649",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "cac 40",
        "cac40",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQB4W3JCQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26AUG31-8650",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,650 in August 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,650",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,650: The CAC 40 closing price on the last trading day of August 2026, as reported by TradingView, determines resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,650 from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,650 at any single point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,650 at any point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\nDisclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6583.57,
      "volume_total_usd": 6598.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8650,
      "question_id": "CMX-195846E95E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "cac 40",
        "cac40",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8THTKZ47B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26AUG31-8700",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,700 in August 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,700",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,700: The CAC 40 closing price on the last trading day of August 2026, as reported by TradingView, determines resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,700 from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,700 at any single point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,700 at any point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\nDisclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.82,
      "implied_probability": 0.82,
      "volume_24h_usd": 56.58,
      "volume_total_usd": 77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8700,
      "question_id": "CMX-223469E622",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "cac 40",
        "cac40",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K03N07V1N4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26AUG31-8750",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,750 in August 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,750",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,750: The CAC 40 closing price on the last trading day of August 2026, as reported by TradingView, determines resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,750 from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,750 at any single point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,750 at any point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\nDisclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.72,
      "implied_probability": 0.72,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1571.3,
      "volume_total_usd": 1571.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8750,
      "question_id": "CMX-A83EE260ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "cac 40",
        "cac40",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DHQS9P8CK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26AUG31-8800",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,800 in August 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,800",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,800: The CAC 40 closing price on the last trading day of August 2026, as reported by TradingView, determines resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,800 from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,800 at any single point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,800 at any point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\nDisclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 32.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 32.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8800,
      "question_id": "CMX-8291AC032C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "cac 40",
        "cac40",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9P3HW30B08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26AUG31-8850",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,850 in August 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,850",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,850: The CAC 40 closing price on the last trading day of August 2026, as reported by TradingView, determines resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,850 from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,850 at any single point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,850 at any point during from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Aug 3, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\nDisclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "volume_24h_usd": 212.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 219.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8850,
      "question_id": "CMX-7F527950AC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "cac 40",
        "cac40",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4MH134J5N7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WLQ03TTBV6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}