{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
  "slug": "kxcac40-26jul31",
  "question": "Will the CAC 40 reach a specific price level in July 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "cac-40",
    "stock-index",
    "european-equities",
    "price-level",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the CAC 40 closing level on the final trading day of July 2026. Euronext publishes the authoritative index level; Kalshi staff determination governs settlement. Eight binary strike thresholds span 8,425 to 8,750, forming an implied probability distribution over the index level. The spread between adjacent strikes prices the market's density around each 25-to-50 point interval.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5VMF7MQY44",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-52966HJ054",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8425",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,425 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,425",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,425: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-19T13:25:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,425 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,425 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,425 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1199.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8425,
      "question_id": "CMX-50E9901055",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N68LJ1Y9B7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8450",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,450 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,450",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,450: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-19T16:55:18Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,450 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,450 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,450 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1198.89,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8450,
      "question_id": "CMX-EFABC45E22",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XM1CNW6D59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8500",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,500 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,500: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-19T16:55:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,500 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,500 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,500 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1307.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8500,
      "question_id": "CMX-85AD4DE0C6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5VMF7MQY44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8550",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,550 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,550",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,550: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-19T16:55:52Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,550 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,550 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,550 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1852.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8550,
      "question_id": "CMX-B816F441CD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VMT6ZR0HV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8600",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,600 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,600",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,600: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,600 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,600 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,600 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 28.831599999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8600,
      "question_id": "CMX-651FB1541F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JL579BNKJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8650",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,650 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,650",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,650: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,650 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,650 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,650 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16.277,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8650,
      "question_id": "CMX-113A9B14C6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-300XQM68J2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8700",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,700 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,700",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,700: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,700 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,700 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,700 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 113.1221,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 8700,
      "question_id": "CMX-9A80450ABF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cac 40",
        "equity",
        "france",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RN0X6RK9G0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WX3R144MR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAC40-26JUL31-8750",
      "question": "Will the CAC 40 be at least €8,750 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least €8,750",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least €8,750: Euronext publishes the CAC 40 index closing level on the final trading day of July 2026; Kalshi staff determines resolution by August 8, 2026, 14:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of CAC 40 (CAC40) is at least €8,750 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the CAC 40 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed €8,750 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach €8,750 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-CAC40/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
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