{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L41Y0TY4G4",
  "slug": "kxcaelection-2607",
  "question": "CA-07 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "ca-07-district"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 CA-07 U.S. House race. Kalshi structures the contest as candidate-specific binary contracts: one prices a Doris Matsui win, the other prices a Mai Vang win. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State certified results. The implicit relationship is zero-sum; one contract settling at 100 forces the other to zero.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VLKQ65TT82",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.55,
    "implied_probability": 0.55
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDR1888DG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L41Y0TY4G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAELECTION-2607-DMAT",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-07 House election?",
      "description": "Doris Matsui",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Doris Matsui: California Secretary of State official election results for the named House race, certified by the state authority, by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 CA-07 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the California Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3270.4596,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-07",
        "doris matsui",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VLKQ65TT82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L41Y0TY4G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAELECTION-2607-MVAN",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-07 House election?",
      "description": "Mai Vang",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mai Vang: California Secretary of State official election results for the named House race, certified by the state authority, by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mai Vang wins the 2026 CA-07 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the California Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4649.254500000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-07",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mai vang"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L41Y0TY4G4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}