{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2XH0F110Q2",
  "slug": "kxcaelection-2634",
  "question": "Will the winner of the California District 34 House race be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "california-politics",
    "2027-elections",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "district-34"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track the 2026 CA-34 U.S. House race outcome. Each Kalshi contract is structured as a binary on a named candidate, Jimmy Gomez versus Angela Gonzales-Torres. Holding both contracts together replicates a full outcome distribution for the seat. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State official election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MFPQMDN9D7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.49,
    "implied_probability": 0.49
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MFPQMDN9D7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2XH0F110Q2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAELECTION-2634-JGOM",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election?",
      "description": "Jimmy Gomez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jimmy Gomez: California Secretary of State official election results determine which candidate wins the named House seat by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jimmy Gomez wins the 2026 CA-34 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the California Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 121.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 6567.577799999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-34",
        "election",
        "house",
        "jimmy gomez"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-83P1TJ0026",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2XH0F110Q2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAELECTION-2634-AGON",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election?",
      "description": "Angela Gonzales-Torres",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Angela Gonzales-Torres: California Secretary of State official election results determine which candidate wins the named House seat by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Angela Gonzales-Torres wins the 2026 CA-34 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the California Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.ca.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the California Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4235.7756,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "angela gonzales torres",
        "ca-34",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2XH0F110Q2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}