{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0FBRLTV31",
  "slug": "kxcagovcounty-26",
  "question": "Will any candidate win a county in the California governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-governor-2026",
    "primary-election",
    "county-level-outcomes",
    "us-politics",
    "electoral-performance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track county-level wins for six candidates in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary. Each binary contract asks whether a named candidate places first in at least one of California's 58 counties. All six markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination, using certified results from the California state board of elections. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026, following primary canvass certification.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BLNKBPD053",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FND5BW35K2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0FBRLTV31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVCOUNTY-26-XBEC",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Xavier Becerra",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Xavier Becerra: California state board of elections or canvassing board certifies the named candidate's county-level results in the 2026 gubernatorial primary by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:07Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3551.23,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "california",
        "governor",
        "primary",
        "xavier becerra"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WKLYV0QNB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0FBRLTV31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVCOUNTY-26-TSTE",
      "question": "Will Tom Steyer win any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Tom Steyer",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tom Steyer: California state board of elections or canvassing board certifies the named candidate's county-level results in the 2026 gubernatorial primary by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:18Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:18Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Steyer wins any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Steve Hilton",
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      "underlying_reference": "Steve Hilton: California state board of elections or canvassing board certifies the named candidate's county-level results in the 2026 gubernatorial primary by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:27Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "steve hilton"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BLNKBPD053",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0FBRLTV31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVCOUNTY-26-CBIA",
      "question": "Will Chad Bianco win any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Chad Bianco",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chad Bianco: California state board of elections or canvassing board certifies the named candidate's county-level results in the 2026 gubernatorial primary by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:39Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:51:39Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chad Bianco wins any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCMVZ6BSB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0FBRLTV31",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVCOUNTY-26-MMAH",
      "question": "Will Matt Mahan win any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Matt Mahan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Matt Mahan: California state board of elections or canvassing board certifies the named candidate's county-level results in the 2026 gubernatorial primary by November 3, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Matt Mahan wins any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Katie Porter win any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WKLYV0QNB9",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R0FBRLTV31",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}