{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
  "slug": "kxcagovprimary1st-26jun02-1st",
  "question": "Will Gavin Newsom finish in first place in the California Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-governor",
    "2026-election",
    "primary-election",
    "us-politics",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes first in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary. Each binary contract isolates a single candidate; together they form an implied probability distribution across the field. California uses a top-two primary system, making first place a key structural threshold. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against certified results from California's official election authority.",
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    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P5CPJFCYS1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.997
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-ESWA",
      "question": "Will Eric Swalwell finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Eric Swalwell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Swalwell: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:08:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eric Swalwell finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 30.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "eric swalwell",
        "governor",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-MMAH",
      "question": "Will Matt Mahan finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Matt Mahan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Matt Mahan: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:08:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Matt Mahan finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-CBIA",
      "question": "Will Chad Bianco finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Chad Bianco",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chad Bianco: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:08:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chad Bianco finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "rcg": {
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J45GWW2WH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-SHIL",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Steve Hilton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Hilton: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
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      "tags": [
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        "california",
        "governor",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Tom Steyer finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Tom Steyer",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tom Steyer: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:08:59Z",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Steyer finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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        "california",
        "governor",
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        "tom steyer"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-KPOR",
      "question": "Will Katie Porter finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Katie Porter",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Katie Porter: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Katie Porter finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
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        "caps": [],
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      "volume_total_usd": 62.7,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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        "california",
        "governor",
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        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Xavier Becerra",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Xavier Becerra: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "tags": [
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        "xavier becerra"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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        }
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KY286ZNJ53",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-AVIL",
      "question": "Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?",
      "description": "Antonio Villaraigosa",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Antonio Villaraigosa: California's official election authority certifies the 2026 primary election results, determining which outcome finished first based on vote totals.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:08:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Antonio Villaraigosa finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.",
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        ],
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "antonio villaraigosa",
        "california",
        "governor",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4ZKGF2C7R1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.001,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SPYVTGXC64",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.001,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V38R8G8HH0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q73T6CGQX8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.001,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G0XG7H59D4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.001,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KY286ZNJ53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.001,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-48HJ1FZ7T9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}