{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-04first26",
  "question": "Will the candidate receiving the most votes win first place in the CA-04 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "house-race",
    "primary-first-place",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate places first in the 2026 CA-04 congressional primary. Each of the nine Kalshi contracts covers a single named candidate, structured as independent binary outcomes. Together they form a mutually exclusive set: exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi staff determination draws on California Secretary of State official election results, with resolution expected by November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TLT3TD0M74",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TLT3TD0M74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-MTHO",
      "question": "Will Mike Thompson place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Mike Thompson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Thompson: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Thompson wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 247.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 21516.9669,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-04",
        "mike thompson",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3BM1RYW7L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-EJON",
      "question": "Will Eric Jones place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Eric Jones",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Jones: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eric Jones wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "volume_total_usd": 89.9699,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7BXLQBYPZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-SBRO",
      "question": "Will Sharon Brown place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Sharon Brown",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sharon Brown: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Sharon Brown wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 3.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZMXVTZ4HY6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-MGHU",
      "question": "Will Mandy Ghusar place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Mandy Ghusar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mandy Ghusar: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mandy Ghusar wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MD1BKVQ6M2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-JJOM",
      "question": "Will Jimih Jomes place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Jimih Jomes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jimih Jomes: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jimih Jomes wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "volume_total_usd": 3.08,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-JMAC",
      "question": "Will John Mackenzie place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "John Mackenzie",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Mackenzie: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NK7ZWKPDK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-RRIE",
      "question": "Will Ray Riehle place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Ray Riehle",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ray Riehle: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ray Riehle wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 11.882000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6PBMTHYTK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-TROA",
      "question": "Will Thomas Roach place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Thomas Roach",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Thomas Roach: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Thomas Roach wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZSQ0W5N840",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-CURI",
      "question": "Will Chuck Uribe place first in the 2026 CA-04 primary?",
      "description": "Chuck Uribe",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chuck Uribe: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Chuck Uribe wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
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      "tags": [
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        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2WX55M3N32",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}