{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-0626",
  "question": "Will a candidate advance from the California 6th district primary?district primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-primary",
    "ca-06",
    "2026-election",
    "house-primary",
    "primary-advancement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from California's 6th Congressional District 2026 primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single candidate's advancement probability, resolved via Kalshi staff determination against official California Secretary of State results. The seven contracts collectively price the field, making cross-contract implied probabilities a useful signal for general-election positioning.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NFJ670XDL0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NFJ670XDL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-KKIL",
      "question": "Will Kevin Kiley advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Kevin Kiley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:48Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kevin Kiley advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8174.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "kevin kiley",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PXDZ84FTV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-LTOM",
      "question": "Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Lauren Babb Tomlinson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lauren Babb Tomlinson advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 638.71,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "lauren babb tomlinson",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3K2M124941",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-MGUE",
      "question": "Will Martha Guerrero advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Martha Guerrero",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Martha Guerrero advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "martha guerrero",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CZV8GWKH31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-THO",
      "question": "Will Thien Ho advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Thien Ho",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Thien Ho advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 28.73,
      "volume_total_usd": 533.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "primary",
        "thien ho"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QH2HM16Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-RPAN",
      "question": "Will Richard Pan advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Richard Pan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:33Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:33Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Richard Pan advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 215.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 1765.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "primary",
        "richard pan"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PX9NL5NKP9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-MSTA",
      "question": "Will Michael Stansfield advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Michael Stansfield",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Michael Stansfield advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 142.06,
      "volume_total_usd": 193.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "michael stansfield",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KXMMN78N19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-0626-TVAN",
      "question": "Will Tyler Vandenberg advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?",
      "description": "Tyler Vandenberg",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California state primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tyler Vandenberg advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 257.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-06",
        "primary",
        "tyler vandenberg"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PXDZ84FTV7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3K2M124941",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CZV8GWKH31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PX9NL5NKP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KXMMN78N19",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:59Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NFJ670XDL0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:48Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QH2HM16Y0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:18:33Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RPXCM187N8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}