{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP6RTXQRN4",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-09first26",
  "question": "Will the first-place finisher in the CA-09 primary be determined by the 2026 primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-primary",
    "congressional-race",
    "first-place-finish",
    "electoral-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes first in the 2026 California 9th Congressional District primary. Kalshi lists five candidate-specific binary contracts: Josh Harder, Khalid Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas. Each resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination using official California primary results. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YVTQWF8N22",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YVTQWF8N22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP6RTXQRN4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-09FIRST26-JHAR",
      "question": "Will Josh Harder place first in the 2026 CA-09 primary?",
      "description": "Josh Harder",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Josh Harder: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine which named candidate received the most votes in the referenced contest, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Josh Harder wins the the 2026 CA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18731.5821,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-09",
        "josh harder",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4V3748S398",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP6RTXQRN4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-09FIRST26-KJAF",
      "question": "Will Khalid Jafri place first in the 2026 CA-09 primary?",
      "description": "Khalid Jafri",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Khalid Jafri: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine which named candidate received the most votes in the referenced contest, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Khalid Jafri wins the the 2026 CA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP6RTXQRN4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-09FIRST26-JMCB",
      "question": "Will John McBride place first in the 2026 CA-09 primary?",
      "description": "John McBride",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John McBride: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine which named candidate received the most votes in the referenced contest, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John McBride wins the the 2026 CA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.0300000000000002,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R0BTJSC1K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP6RTXQRN4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-09FIRST26-PSIN",
      "question": "Will Parminder Singh place first in the 2026 CA-09 primary?",
      "description": "Parminder Singh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Parminder Singh: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine which named candidate received the most votes in the referenced contest, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Parminder Singh wins the the 2026 CA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.04,
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S0FNWSKT11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP6RTXQRN4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-09FIRST26-MVEP",
      "question": "Will Martin Veprauskas place first in the 2026 CA-09 primary?",
      "description": "Martin Veprauskas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Martin Veprauskas: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine which named candidate received the most votes in the referenced contest, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Martin Veprauskas wins the the 2026 CA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}