{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-1426",
  "question": "Will a candidate advance from the CA-14 primary by the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-primary-2026",
    "us-house-race",
    "electoral-advancement",
    "district-14",
    "primary-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-14 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All nine markets are structured as binary outcome questions on individual candidates, resolved via Kalshi staff determination. Results are drawn from California Secretary of State official primary election returns, with resolution expected by November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GH4NYDZMM2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XK2D84XD34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-VAGU",
      "question": "Will Victor Aguilar advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Victor Aguilar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Victor Aguilar: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Victor Aguilar advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 62.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "primary",
        "victor aguilar"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZYQ5R2R790",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-SCHE",
      "question": "Will Suzanne Chenault advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Suzanne Chenault",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Suzanne Chenault: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Suzanne Chenault advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "primary",
        "suzanne chenault"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HHLNYM2F45",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-CELA",
      "question": "Will Carin Elam advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Carin Elam",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Carin Elam: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Carin Elam advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "carin elam",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GH4NYDZMM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-MHER",
      "question": "Will Melissa Hernandez advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Melissa Hernandez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Melissa Hernandez: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Melissa Hernandez advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8191.8,
      "volume_total_usd": 32470.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "melissa hernandez",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XDD3NBQJT8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-WHUA",
      "question": "Will Wendy Huang advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Wendy Huang",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wendy Huang: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Wendy Huang advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 52.36,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "primary",
        "wendy huang"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6JNNSDDN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-DMAL",
      "question": "Will Dena Maldonado advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Dena Maldonado",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dena Maldonado: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dena Maldonado advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 36.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "dena maldonado",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G8DYNLR2K3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-MORT",
      "question": "Will Matt Ortega advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Matt Ortega",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Matt Ortega: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Matt Ortega advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.57,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "matt ortega",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L9CVT445Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-RSIN",
      "question": "Will Rakhi Israni Singh advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Rakhi Israni Singh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rakhi Israni Singh: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rakhi Israni Singh advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 42.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-14",
        "primary",
        "rakhi israni singh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MTWH95JTM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1426-AWAH",
      "question": "Will Aisha Wahab advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?",
      "description": "Aisha Wahab",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Aisha Wahab: Washington Secretary of State official primary election results determine whether the named candidate advances, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T14:33:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Aisha Wahab advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18963.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "aisha wahab",
        "ca-14",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MTWH95JTM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.999,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GBZNPWHJ47",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}