{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7060501S0",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-1526",
  "question": "Will Kevin Mullin advance in the 2026 CA-15 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "2026-midterms",
    "ca-15",
    "candidate-advancement"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-15 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All five markets are binary and candidate-specific, each isolating one contender's advancement probability. Kalshi staff will determine outcomes using official results published by the California Secretary of State.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-D0XPM9X7H9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7060501S0",
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      "question": "Will Kevin Mullin advance in the 2026 CA-15 primary?",
      "description": "Kevin Mullin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 15th Congressional District primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:10Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:10Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kevin Mullin advances in the 2026 CA-15 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 127.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 6358.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-15",
        "kevin mullin",
        "primary"
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7060501S0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1526-ADAN",
      "question": "Will Anthony Dang advance in the 2026 CA-15 primary?",
      "description": "Anthony Dang",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 15th Congressional District primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:28Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthony Dang advances in the 2026 CA-15 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1526-JGAR",
      "question": "Will Jim Garrity advance in the 2026 CA-15 primary?",
      "description": "Jim Garrity",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 15th Congressional District primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:34Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:34Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y8K46T6MM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7060501S0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1526-CHOE",
      "question": "Will Charles Hoelter advance in the 2026 CA-15 primary?",
      "description": "Charles Hoelter",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 15th Congressional District primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:21Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:21Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Charles Hoelter advances in the 2026 CA-15 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1328.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7060501S0",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-1526-MKUM",
      "question": "Will Mantosh Kumar advance in the 2026 CA-15 primary?",
      "description": "Mantosh Kumar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 15th Congressional District primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:13:41Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mantosh Kumar advances in the 2026 CA-15 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-W7060501S0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}