{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-2126",
  "question": "Will Jim Costa advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "california",
    "2026-cycle",
    "house-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from California's 21st congressional district primary in 2026. California uses a top-two primary system; the six Kalshi contracts cover Jim Costa, Eric Garcia, Lourin Hubbard, Kyle Kirkland, Lance Kruse, and Lorenzo Rios individually. All six resolve via Kalshi staff determination against California Secretary of State certified results. Traders can construct implied probability of each candidate's advancement by pricing the binary contracts independently.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W7H86SRHV1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W7H86SRHV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-2126-JCOS",
      "question": "Will Jim Costa advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
      "description": "Jim Costa",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the results of the California 21st congressional district primary election held in 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jim Costa advances in the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 119.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 6540.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
        "ca-21",
        "jim costa",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-41P6JHJNL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-2126-EGAR",
      "question": "Will Eric Garcia advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
      "description": "Eric Garcia",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the results of the California 21st congressional district primary election held in 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:41Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eric Garcia advances in the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
        "ca-21",
        "eric garcia",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JD6DLCLHX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-2126-LHUB",
      "question": "Will Lourin Hubbard advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
      "description": "Lourin Hubbard",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the results of the California 21st congressional district primary election held in 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lourin Hubbard advances in the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
        "ca-21",
        "lourin hubbard",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5222BV6HN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-2126-KKIR",
      "question": "Will Kyle Kirkland advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
      "description": "Kyle Kirkland",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the results of the California 21st congressional district primary election held in 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:32Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:32Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kyle Kirkland advances in the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 381.77,
      "volume_total_usd": 1538.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
        "ca-21",
        "kyle kirkland",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KNYN4B0F36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-2126-LKRU",
      "question": "Will Lance Kruse advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
      "description": "Lance Kruse",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the results of the California 21st congressional district primary election held in 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:57Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:20:57Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lance Kruse advances in the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.09,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
        "ca-21",
        "lance kruse",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NQBTV0TBD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-2126-LRIO",
      "question": "Will Lorenzo Rios advance in the 2026 CA-21 primary?",
      "description": "Lorenzo Rios",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the results of the California 21st congressional district primary election held in 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:21:05Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lorenzo Rios advances in the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 25.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 1144.86,
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5222BV6HN8",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-73CJSS2RS4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}