{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-3026",
  "question": "Will Laura Friedman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "house-race",
    "ca-30"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 California CA-30 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system, so two candidates advance regardless of party. All seven contracts are structured identically as binary yes/no advances, covering Friedman, Armenian, Feitosa, Herman, Lava, Meyers, and Tennyson. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State certified results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-07W2BDF8C0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-LFRI",
      "question": "Will Laura Friedman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
      "description": "Laura Friedman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces 2026 California primary election results for CA-30 congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:36:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:36:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Laura Friedman advances in the 2026 CA-30 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 58146.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-30",
        "laura friedman",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-JARM",
      "question": "Will John Armenian advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
      "description": "John Armenian",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces 2026 California primary election results for CA-30 congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:36:53Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:36:53Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Armenian advances in the 2026 CA-30 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-DFEI",
      "question": "Will Dennis Feitosa advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
      "description": "Dennis Feitosa",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces 2026 California primary election results for CA-30 congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:37:03Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:37:03Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If Dennis Feitosa advances in the 2026 CA-30 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2942.07,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7BSRGQ2JJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-PHER",
      "question": "Will Pini Herman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
      "description": "Pini Herman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces 2026 California primary election results for CA-30 congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:37:10Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:37:10Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pini Herman advances in the 2026 CA-30 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.34,
      "volume_total_usd": 29.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-JLAV",
      "question": "Will Joel Lava advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
      "description": "Joel Lava",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces 2026 California primary election results for CA-30 congressional district.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:37:16Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:37:16Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joel Lava advances in the 2026 CA-30 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-SMEY",
      "question": "Will Scott Meyers advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
      "description": "Scott Meyers",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces 2026 California primary election results for CA-30 congressional district.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:36:41Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3026-CTEN",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}