{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-32first26",
  "question": "Will the first-place finisher in the CA-32 primary be determined by the 2026 primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track first-place finish in the 2026 CA-32 congressional primary. Kalshi lists nine candidate-specific binary contracts, each asking whether a named candidate tops the field. All nine resolve via Kalshi staff determination against California Secretary of State official results. Probabilities across contracts must sum to at most 100%, making relative pricing a direct read on candidate-by-candidate plurality odds.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-D0PW5TDRQ7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D0PW5TDRQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-BSHE",
      "question": "Will Brad Sherman place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Brad Sherman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brad Sherman: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brad Sherman wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10638.1143,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brad sherman",
        "ca-32",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q0KD1NXQ46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-CAHU",
      "question": "Will Chris Ahuja place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Chris Ahuja",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chris Ahuja: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chris Ahuja wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-32",
        "chris ahuja",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L339WJB871",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-DBEN",
      "question": "Will Dory Benami place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Dory Benami",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dory Benami: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dory Benami wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-32",
        "dory benami",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q0VPYCRL44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-JLEV",
      "question": "Will Jake Levine place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Jake Levine",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jake Levine: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jake Levine wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.4637,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-32",
        "jake levine",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5VRYKVQSF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-MLIN",
      "question": "Will Marena Lin place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Marena Lin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Marena Lin: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Marena Lin wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.26,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-32",
        "marena lin",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFL20WRQK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-JSAU",
      "question": "Will Josh Sautter place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Josh Sautter",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Josh Sautter: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Josh Sautter wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-32",
        "josh sautter",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N2H6ZNNHB8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-DSMI",
      "question": "Will Doug Smith place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Doug Smith",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Doug Smith: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Doug Smith wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-32",
        "doug smith",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GLF1PSH1T2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-LTHO",
      "question": "Will Larry Thompson place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Larry Thompson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Larry Thompson: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Larry Thompson wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 87.88900000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "ca-32",
        "larry thompson",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZMN3M4LFH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-32FIRST26-AWIL",
      "question": "Will Anna Wilding place first in the 2026 CA-32 primary?",
      "description": "Anna Wilding",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Anna Wilding: California Secretary of State official primary election results for the named congressional district resolve on November 3, 2026 by vote share ranking.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anna Wilding wins the the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "anna wilding",
        "ca-32",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PBX8P79GK5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}