{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-3326",
  "question": "Will Pete Aguilar advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "california",
    "2026-election",
    "house-of-representatives"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-33 congressional primary. California uses a top-two system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. Each Kalshi contract isolates one candidate, so the seven markets function as a correlated set. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using official California Secretary of State results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q2X8VTVZT2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q2X8VTVZT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-PAGU",
      "question": "Will Pete Aguilar advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
      "description": "Pete Aguilar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official 2026 California State Assembly District 33 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T00:56:51Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T00:56:51Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pete Aguilar advances in the 2026 CA-33 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 339.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 4861.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-33",
        "pete aguilar",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PD539TJL21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-ACHR",
      "question": "Will Antonis Christodoulou advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
      "description": "Antonis Christodoulou",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official 2026 California State Assembly District 33 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Antonis Christodoulou advances in the 2026 CA-33 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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          "reasons": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q34DFQ2G80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-THER",
      "question": "Will Tom Herman advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
      "description": "Tom Herman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official 2026 California State Assembly District 33 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:27Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:27Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Herman advances in the 2026 CA-33 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 492.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 2092.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-33",
        "primary",
        "tom herman"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDCLZJ8M38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-ERIC",
      "question": "Will Ernest Richter advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
      "description": "Ernest Richter",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official 2026 California State Assembly District 33 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:36Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ernest Richter advances in the 2026 CA-33 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "primary"
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V8VR6PN639",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-LSHI",
      "question": "Will Ling Ling Shi advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
      "description": "Ling Ling Shi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official 2026 California State Assembly District 33 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:45Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:45Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ling Ling Shi advances in the 2026 CA-33 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8V3TP9Q4G2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-SVAR",
      "question": "Will Stephanie Vargas advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?",
      "description": "Stephanie Vargas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official 2026 California State Assembly District 33 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:08Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T00:57:08Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3326-EWEE",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "caps": [],
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      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-06T00:56:51Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}