{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-3726",
  "question": "Will the winner of the CA-37 primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "us-house",
    "2026-election",
    "candidate-advancement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 CA-37 congressional primary, identifying which two candidates advance under California's top-two system. All nine markets are binary, each pricing one candidate's advancement probability independently. Implied probabilities across the set should sum near 200%, reflecting exactly two available slots. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination against official California Secretary of State results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L0HD977RD3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L0HD977RD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SKAM",
      "question": "Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Sydney Kamlager-Dove",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:37:53Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T18:37:53Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Sydney Kamlager-Dove advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11028.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "primary",
        "sydney kamlager dove"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5T3RCC8T1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-RDUC",
      "question": "Will Ryan Duckett advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Ryan Duckett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ryan Duckett advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "primary",
        "ryan duckett"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-04YQF2HB16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-BFED",
      "question": "Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Baltazar Fedalizo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Baltazar Fedalizo advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 144.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 1238.29,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "baltazar fedalizo",
        "ca-37",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QSXNGY1Q55",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-EFEN",
      "question": "Will Elizabeth Fenner advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Elizabeth Fenner",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elizabeth Fenner advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "elizabeth fenner",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LQP8WDP043",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SHIL",
      "question": "Will Steven Hill advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Steven Hill",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steven Hill advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 28.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "primary",
        "steven hill"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TB8MXCLDG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-TLOM",
      "question": "Will Todd Lombardo advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Todd Lombardo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Todd Lombardo advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 430.94,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "primary",
        "todd lombardo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5MNYQMDFB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SMOT",
      "question": "Will Samantha Mota advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Samantha Mota",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:10:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:10:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Samantha Mota advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 25.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "primary",
        "samantha mota"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKM05DFN70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-JPAR",
      "question": "Will John Parker advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "John Parker",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Parker advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "john parker",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JMC0WZZRT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3726-JREY",
      "question": "Will Juan Rey advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?",
      "description": "Juan Rey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces official 2026 CA-37 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Juan Rey advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.55,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-37",
        "juan rey",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5T3RCC8T1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-04YQF2HB16",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QSXNGY1Q55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LQP8WDP043",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TB8MXCLDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKM05DFN70",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JMC0WZZRT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:11:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5MNYQMDFB9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T00:10:59Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L0HD977RD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T18:37:53Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0XWT83CB24",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}