{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4QM2G1R47",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-3826",
  "question": "Will Hilda Solis advance in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-us-primary",
    "california-election",
    "ca-38-district",
    "election-advancement",
    "primary-qualifier"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-38 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance to the general election regardless of party. All four markets are binary and run on the same platform, pricing each candidate's advancement probability independently. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract using official results published by the California Secretary of State.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HLQX0CRTM1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CKPLVDFWS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4QM2G1R47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3826-MSAN",
      "question": "Will Monica Sanchez advance in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Monica Sanchez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 38th congressional district primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:14Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:14Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Monica Sanchez advances in the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.44,
      "volume_total_usd": 82.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-38",
        "monica sanchez",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HLQX0CRTM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4QM2G1R47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3826-HSOL",
      "question": "Will Hilda Solis advance in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Hilda Solis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 38th congressional district primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:20:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:20:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hilda Solis advances in the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20726.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-38",
        "hilda solis",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4QM2G1R47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3826-PCAS",
      "question": "Will Pedro Casas advance in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Pedro Casas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 38th congressional district primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:07Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pedro Casas advances in the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 148.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 4955.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-38",
        "pedro casas",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VFLY875V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4QM2G1R47",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-3826-ELUT",
      "question": "Will Erik Lutz advance in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Erik Lutz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official results of the 2026 California 38th congressional district primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:21Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:21Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Erik Lutz advances in the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.54,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-38",
        "erik lutz",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VFLY875V9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:21Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-49B0GWNX68",
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      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:07Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HLQX0CRTM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:20:59Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X4QM2G1R47",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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