{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WSJ388V855",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-38first26",
  "question": "Will Linda Sánchez win first place in the CA-38 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-primary-election",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-election-cycle",
    "congressional-race",
    "first-place-finish"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate places first in the 2026 CA-38 congressional primary. Four binary contracts cover Monica Sanchez, Hilda Solis, Pedro Casas, and Erik Lutz individually. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State official results. Only one contract can resolve yes; the set functions as a mutually exclusive outcome distribution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K3Q2HW67Q1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HV2THBV3Y1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WSJ388V855",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-38FIRST26-MSAN",
      "question": "Will Monica Sanchez place first in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Monica Sanchez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Monica Sanchez: Washington Secretary of State official results for the referenced candidate's primary election placement, announced by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Monica Sanchez wins the the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "caps": [],
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.47,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K3Q2HW67Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WSJ388V855",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-38FIRST26-HSOL",
      "question": "Will Hilda Solis place first in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Hilda Solis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hilda Solis: Washington Secretary of State official results for the referenced candidate's primary election placement, announced by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hilda Solis wins the the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WSJ388V855",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-38FIRST26-PCAS",
      "question": "Will Pedro Casas place first in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Pedro Casas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Pedro Casas: Washington Secretary of State official results for the referenced candidate's primary election placement, announced by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Pedro Casas wins the the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WSJ388V855",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-38FIRST26-ELUT",
      "question": "Will Erik Lutz place first in the 2026 CA-38 primary?",
      "description": "Erik Lutz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Erik Lutz: Washington Secretary of State official results for the referenced candidate's primary election placement, announced by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Erik Lutz wins the the 2026 CA-38 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WSJ388V855",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}