{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SB2JM0Q1P5",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-39first26",
  "question": "Will the candidate receiving the most votes finish in first place in the CA-39 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-us-primary",
    "california-politics",
    "congressional-race",
    "first-place-finish",
    "ca-39-district"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track first-place finishes in the 2026 CA-39 congressional primary. One contract prices Mark Takano's probability of leading the primary; the other prices Steve Manos's. The two are structurally inverse bets on the same race outcome. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State official primary results, expected by November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7RMLCPHS64",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7RMLCPHS64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SB2JM0Q1P5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-39FIRST26-MTAK",
      "question": "Will Mark Takano place first in the 2026 CA-39 primary?",
      "description": "Mark Takano",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Takano: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Takano wins the the 2026 CA-39 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18904.1193,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-39",
        "mark takano",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NQ0J353SX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SB2JM0Q1P5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-39FIRST26-SMAN",
      "question": "Will Steve Manos place first in the 2026 CA-39 primary?",
      "description": "Steve Manos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Manos: Washington Secretary of State official election results for the named candidate's primary race, reported by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Manos wins the the 2026 CA-39 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 26.092,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-39",
        "primary",
        "steve manos"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SB2JM0Q1P5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}