{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GFYVWVST59",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4126",
  "question": "Will a candidate advance from the CA-41 primary by the date of the primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-primary",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "ca-41",
    "primary-advancement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-41 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system, so two candidates advance regardless of party. Each Kalshi contract prices one candidate's advancement probability independently, allowing traders to express views on any combination of finishers. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract using California Secretary of State results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KYRL8SF5K4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K4G4J8Q465",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GFYVWVST59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4126-LSAN",
      "question": "Will Linda Sanchez advance in the 2026 CA-41 primary?",
      "description": "Linda Sanchez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes 2026 California State Assembly District 41 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:39Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:39Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Linda Sanchez advances in the 2026 CA-41 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6898.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-41",
        "linda sanchez",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYRL8SF5K4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GFYVWVST59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4126-MCLE",
      "question": "Will Mitch Clemmons advance in the 2026 CA-41 primary?",
      "description": "Mitch Clemmons",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes 2026 California State Assembly District 41 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:47Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:47Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mitch Clemmons advances in the 2026 CA-41 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.04,
      "volume_total_usd": 10793.48,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-41",
        "mitch clemmons",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W4KNDRHPF2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GFYVWVST59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4126-HTOR",
      "question": "Will Hector De La Torre advance in the 2026 CA-41 primary?",
      "description": "Hector De La Torre",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes 2026 California State Assembly District 41 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:54Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:54Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hector De La Torre advances in the 2026 CA-41 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-41",
        "hector de la",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J8CHJSDGH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GFYVWVST59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4126-SWIL",
      "question": "Will Shonique Williams advance in the 2026 CA-41 primary?",
      "description": "Shonique Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes 2026 California State Assembly District 41 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Shonique Williams advances in the 2026 CA-41 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-41",
        "primary",
        "shonique williams"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J8CHJSDGH1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W4KNDRHPF2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:54Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYRL8SF5K4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:47Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K4G4J8Q465",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:21:39Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GFYVWVST59",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}