{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4226",
  "question": "Will the California 42nd congressional district primary advance two candidates to the general election by the specified date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "2026-election",
    "us-congress",
    "electoral-advancement"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from California's 42nd congressional district primary in 2026. California uses a top-two primary system, so two candidates advance regardless of party. Each Kalshi binary prices one candidate's advancement probability independently. Kalshi staff determination resolves all five contracts using official results certified by the California Secretary of State.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1J6F7QFJR7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1J6F7QFJR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4226-RGAR",
      "question": "Will Robert Garcia advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?",
      "description": "Robert Garcia",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official results of California's 42nd congressional district primary election held June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T14:34:11Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T14:34:11Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robert Garcia advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10990.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-42",
        "primary",
        "robert garcia"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4226-BBUR",
      "question": "Will Brian Burley advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?",
      "description": "Brian Burley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official results of California's 42nd congressional district primary election held June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:37:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:37:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brian Burley advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 469.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 1413.49,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-20NW4VPT50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4226-LPHA",
      "question": "Will Long Pham advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?",
      "description": "Long Pham",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official results of California's 42nd congressional district primary election held June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:35:40Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:35:40Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Long Pham advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.05,
      "volume_total_usd": 25.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-42",
        "long pham",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQB917CPZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4226-LVER",
      "question": "Will Larisa Vermeulen advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?",
      "description": "Larisa Vermeulen",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official results of California's 42nd congressional district primary election held June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:35:47Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:35:47Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Larisa Vermeulen advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.51,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4226-NBLO",
      "question": "Will Noah Von Blom advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?",
      "description": "Noah Von Blom",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces official results of California's 42nd congressional district primary election held June 3, 2026.",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 500.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 914.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9GWH54FJL1",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}