{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHF3KLDD2",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4326",
  "question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the California 43rd congressional district primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "2026-election",
    "california-primary",
    "us-house",
    "maxine-waters",
    "primary-advancement"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the CA-43 congressional primary on June 8, 2026. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All four markets are binary candidate-specific contracts on Kalshi, resolved via Kalshi staff determination against certified California Secretary of State results. The resolve date of November 3, 2026 aligns with general election certification timing.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BKYS2HBTJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHF3KLDD2",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4326-MWAT",
      "question": "Will Maxine Waters advance in the 2026 CA-43 primary?",
      "description": "Maxine Waters",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:37:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Maxine Waters advances in the 2026 CA-43 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "consensus of media organizations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 6478.55,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ca-43",
        "maxine waters",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHF3KLDD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4326-CMOR",
      "question": "Will Christian Morales advance in the 2026 CA-43 primary?",
      "description": "Christian Morales",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christian Morales: California Secretary of State official election results for the referenced state legislative primary, certified by November 3, 2026, determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Christian Morales advances in the 2026 CA-43 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.989,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4638.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4326-MRAH",
      "question": "Will Myla Rahman advance in the 2026 CA-43 primary?",
      "description": "Myla Rahman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Myla Rahman: California Secretary of State official election results for the referenced state legislative primary, certified by November 3, 2026, determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-43",
        "myla rahman",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QVFX6J18J6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHF3KLDD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4326-DSED",
      "question": "Will David Sedlik advance in the 2026 CA-43 primary?",
      "description": "David Sedlik",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Sedlik: California Secretary of State official election results for the referenced state legislative primary, certified by November 3, 2026, determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Sedlik advances in the 2026 CA-43 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BKYS2HBTJ8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.997,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-TWHF3KLDD2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}