{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4526",
  "question": "Will the winner of the California 45th congressional district primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "2026-cycle",
    "house-race",
    "ca-45"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-45 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All six markets are binary, each pricing one named candidate's advancement probability independently. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract using official results published by the California Secretary of State.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-H54TX184F3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H54TX184F3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4526-DTRA",
      "question": "Will Derek Tran advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?",
      "description": "Derek Tran",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes official results for the 2026 California State Assembly District 45 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:01Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:01Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Derek Tran advances in the 2026 CA-45 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 5697.58,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-45",
        "derek tran",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H7FMZ6BSX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4526-MLEO",
      "question": "Will Mark Leonard advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?",
      "description": "Mark Leonard",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes official results for the 2026 California State Assembly District 45 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Leonard advances in the 2026 CA-45 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-45",
        "mark leonard",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C05ZW1ZHT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4526-CNGU",
      "question": "Will Chi Charlie Nguyen advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?",
      "description": "Chi Charlie Nguyen",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes official results for the 2026 California State Assembly District 45 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:24Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:24Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chi Charlie Nguyen advances in the 2026 CA-45 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 4669.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-45",
        "chi charlie nguyen",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4K283M3781",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4526-CVO",
      "question": "Will Chuong Vo advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?",
      "description": "Chuong Vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes official results for the 2026 California State Assembly District 45 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:11Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:11Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chuong Vo advances in the 2026 CA-45 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 93.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-45",
        "chuong vo",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M73B7KCXH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4526-TVO",
      "question": "Will Tom Vo advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?",
      "description": "Tom Vo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes official results for the 2026 California State Assembly District 45 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:31Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:31Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Vo advances in the 2026 CA-45 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.74,
      "volume_total_usd": 3026.33,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-45",
        "primary",
        "tom vo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R6R256XGM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4526-AWES",
      "question": "Will Amy Phan West advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?",
      "description": "Amy Phan West",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes official results for the 2026 California State Assembly District 45 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:37Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:37Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amy Phan West advances in the 2026 CA-45 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "amy phan west",
        "ca-45",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R6R256XGM6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:37Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M73B7KCXH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:31Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C05ZW1ZHT4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:24Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H7FMZ6BSX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:17Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4K283M3781",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:11Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H54TX184F3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T14:38:01Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RF83V4KH32",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}