{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4626",
  "question": "Who will advance from the CA-46 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-primary-election",
    "california-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "house-race",
    "ca-46"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-46 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All five markets are structured as binary candidate-level questions on Kalshi. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State certified results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KYWSKRSNG5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYWSKRSNG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4626-LCOR",
      "question": "Will Lou Correa advance in the 2026 CA-46 primary?",
      "description": "Lou Correa",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces 2026 CA-46 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lou Correa advances in the 2026 CA-46 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 330.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 10521.97,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-46",
        "lou correa",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LTH3Y8D0F3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4626-FBAH",
      "question": "Will Francisco Bahena advance in the 2026 CA-46 primary?",
      "description": "Francisco Bahena",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces 2026 CA-46 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:35Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Francisco Bahena advances in the 2026 CA-46 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-46",
        "francisco bahena",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RP3SX81G91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4626-CMEN",
      "question": "Will Christian Mendez advance in the 2026 CA-46 primary?",
      "description": "Christian Mendez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces 2026 CA-46 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:43Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Christian Mendez advances in the 2026 CA-46 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.34,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.13,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-46",
        "christian mendez",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0ZQST4C2Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4626-DPAN",
      "question": "Will David Pan advance in the 2026 CA-46 primary?",
      "description": "David Pan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces 2026 CA-46 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:28Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Pan advances in the 2026 CA-46 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 59.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 969.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-46",
        "david pan",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GXYRQLD9C6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4626-APER",
      "question": "Will Armando Perez-Serrato advance in the 2026 CA-46 primary?",
      "description": "Armando Perez-Serrato",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State announces 2026 CA-46 primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:51Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:51Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Armando Perez-Serrato advances in the 2026 CA-46 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 45.47,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "armando perez serrato",
        "ca-46",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GXYRQLD9C6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:51Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RP3SX81G91",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:43Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LTH3Y8D0F3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:35Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0ZQST4C2Q0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:28Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYWSKRSNG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:22:17Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PPMB24N1F1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}