{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MN9TJQ2S29",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4826",
  "question": "Will the leading candidate advance in the CA-48 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "2026-midterms",
    "ca-48",
    "candidate-advancement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 California 48th congressional district primary. California uses a top-two primary system, so the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All four markets are Kalshi contracts priced on individual candidate outcomes, resolved via Kalshi staff determination. The authoritative source is California election results, though the market description incorrectly names the Washington Secretary of State.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-385WNFPF77",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MN9TJQ2S29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4826-JDES",
      "question": "Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary?",
      "description": "Jim Desmond",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the 2026 California 48th congressional district primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:28:58Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:28:58Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jim Desmond advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 287.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 788.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-48",
        "jim desmond",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MN9TJQ2S29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4826-ACAM",
      "question": "Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary?",
      "description": "Ammar Campa-Najjar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the 2026 California 48th congressional district primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:29:18Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:29:18Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ammar Campa-Najjar advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.23,
      "volume_total_usd": 39.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MN9TJQ2S29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4826-BRIK",
      "question": "Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary?",
      "description": "Brandon Riker",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the 2026 California 48th congressional district primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:29:24Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:29:24Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brandon Riker advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 43.77,
      "volume_total_usd": 334.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-385WNFPF77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MN9TJQ2S29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4826-MWIL",
      "question": "Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary?",
      "description": "Marni von Wilpert",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State announces the 2026 California 48th congressional district primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:29:09Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:29:09Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Marni von Wilpert advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2055.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 13790.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-385WNFPF77",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GTWS56XHL2",
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      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MN9TJQ2S29",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}