{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YQYWJ23H36",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-4926",
  "question": "Will the winner of the CA-49 primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "2026-midterm",
    "house-race",
    "candidate-advancement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from the 2026 CA-49 congressional primary. California uses a top-two primary system; the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All three markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against official California primary results. Note the authoritative source is the California Secretary of State, not Washington's.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SSTN4QYRQ3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BRQMHQFNN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YQYWJ23H36",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4926-MLEV",
      "question": "Will Mike Levin advance in the 2026 CA-49 primary?",
      "description": "Mike Levin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 California state primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:29Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:29Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Levin advances in the 2026 CA-49 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 117.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-49",
        "mike levin",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SSTN4QYRQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YQYWJ23H36",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4926-AKUR",
      "question": "Will Armen Kurdian advance in the 2026 CA-49 primary?",
      "description": "Armen Kurdian",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 California state primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:40Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:40Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Armen Kurdian advances in the 2026 CA-49 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 302.63,
      "volume_total_usd": 11590.01,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "armen kurdian",
        "ca-49",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T4K2XSDT52",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YQYWJ23H36",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-4926-SPAR",
      "question": "Will Star Parker advance in the 2026 CA-49 primary?",
      "description": "Star Parker",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Washington Secretary of State publishes the official 2026 California state primary election results.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:47Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:47Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Star Parker advances in the 2026 CA-49 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 167.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-49",
        "primary",
        "star parker"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T4K2XSDT52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:47Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SSTN4QYRQ3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:40Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BRQMHQFNN4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T23:24:29Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YQYWJ23H36",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}