{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F1WLVJ97K4",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-49first26",
  "question": "Will Mike Levin win first place in the CA-49 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-primary-election",
    "california-politics",
    "ca-49-district",
    "2026-election",
    "first-place-finish"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate places first in the 2026 CA-49 congressional primary. Three binary contracts cover Mike Levin, Armen Kurdian, and Star Parker individually. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination using California Secretary of State certified results. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QFTLSQRDF2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QFTLSQRDF2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F1WLVJ97K4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-49FIRST26-MLEV",
      "question": "Will Mike Levin place first in the 2026 CA-49 primary?",
      "description": "Mike Levin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Levin: California Secretary of State certified primary election results for the referenced state legislative district resolve the outcome on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Levin wins the the 2026 CA-49 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12983.394600000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-49",
        "mike levin",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1X6Z4BL5Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F1WLVJ97K4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-49FIRST26-AKUR",
      "question": "Will Armen Kurdian place first in the 2026 CA-49 primary?",
      "description": "Armen Kurdian",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Armen Kurdian: California Secretary of State certified primary election results for the referenced state legislative district resolve the outcome on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Armen Kurdian wins the the 2026 CA-49 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "armen kurdian",
        "ca-49",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-86S71ZWR62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F1WLVJ97K4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-49FIRST26-SPAR",
      "question": "Will Star Parker place first in the 2026 CA-49 primary?",
      "description": "Star Parker",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Star Parker: California Secretary of State certified primary election results for the referenced state legislative district resolve the outcome on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Star Parker wins the the 2026 CA-49 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Washington Secretary of State",
            "url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.21000000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ca-49",
        "primary",
        "star parker"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-F1WLVJ97K4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}