{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D6PDC3PX6",
  "slug": "kxcaprimary-51first26",
  "question": "CA-51 primary: first place",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "ca-51-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "us-house",
    "primary-election",
    "california-politics"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes first in the 2026 CA-51 congressional primary. Each contract isolates a single candidate: Sara Jacobs, Ricardo Cabrera, Stan Caplan, or David Engel. The four binary contracts are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves yes. California Secretary of State certified results determine resolution via Kalshi staff determination.",
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  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-51FIRST26-SJAC",
      "question": "Will Sara Jacobs place first in the 2026 CA-51 primary?",
      "description": "Sara Jacobs",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sara Jacobs: California Secretary of State official primary election results determine which candidate receives the most votes in the listed district's primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-51FIRST26-RCAB",
      "question": "Will Ricardo Cabrera place first in the 2026 CA-51 primary?",
      "description": "Ricardo Cabrera",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ricardo Cabrera: California Secretary of State official primary election results determine which candidate receives the most votes in the listed district's primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ricardo Cabrera wins the the 2026 CA-51 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D6PDC3PX6",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-51FIRST26-SCAP",
      "question": "Will Stan Caplan place first in the 2026 CA-51 primary?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2D6PDC3PX6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCAPRIMARY-51FIRST26-DENG",
      "question": "Will David Engel place first in the 2026 CA-51 primary?",
      "description": "David Engel",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Engel: California Secretary of State official primary election results determine which candidate receives the most votes in the listed district's primary, resolved by Kalshi staff on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-2D6PDC3PX6",
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