{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-258RDTLWY9",
  "slug": "kxcbdecisionaustralia-26jun16",
  "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia change its official cash rate in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "rba-monetary-policy",
    "interest-rate-decision",
    "australia-economics",
    "central-bank",
    "june-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 policy rate decision. Kalshi structures the event across five discrete outcome tiers: cut more than 25bps, cut 1-25bps, hold, hike 1-25bps, and hike more than 25bps. Each tier is a binary contract resolved by Kalshi staff determination against the RBA's official monetary policy announcement. Resolution is set for June 16, 2026, following the board meeting outcome.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K07Y3FV779",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G5BY0H6054",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-258RDTLWY9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26JUN16-C25P",
      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia Cut more than 25bps at the June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-16T04:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T04:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
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          {
            "name": "Reserve Bank of Australia",
            "url": null,
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        "score": 90,
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      "volume_total_usd": 111.38,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GGGZN3M6F3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-258RDTLWY9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26JUN16-C25",
      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia Cut 1-25bps at the June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-16T04:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T04:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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          {
            "name": "Reserve Bank of Australia",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 18.87,
      "volume_total_usd": 103.62,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9631435FB5",
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      "tags": [
        "monetary-policy",
        "rate-cut",
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        "rba cash rate"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K07Y3FV779",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-258RDTLWY9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26JUN16-HOLD",
      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia Maintain current rate at the June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T04:29:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Maintain current rate at June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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        "rba cash rate"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8SCLG1V1X1",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia Hike 1-25bps at the June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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}