{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RCX0GXDHW8",
  "slug": "kxcbdecisioncanada-26oct",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Canada make a decision in October 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "bank-of-canada",
    "monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "canada",
    "central-banking"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of Canada's October 28, 2026 policy rate decision. Five discrete Kalshi contracts span the full outcome set: cuts above 25bps, a standard 25bp cut, a hold, a 25bp hike, and hikes above 25bps. Together they price the complete distribution of rate-level outcomes at a single meeting. Resolution is via Kalshi staff determination against the Bank of Canada's official policy announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FRP70PLXJ7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.8,
    "implied_probability": 0.8
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q53FPZ11Q8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RCX0GXDHW8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26OCT-C26",
      "question": "Will Bank of Canada Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "Cut >25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut >25bps: The central bank's official announcement of its policy decision at the referenced meeting, confirmed by Kalshi staff by October 28, 2026, resolves whether the named institution maintains its benchmark rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
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            "name": "Associated Press",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "CBS",
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "central bank",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TC7QTBJ556",
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      "question": "Will Bank of Canada Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of 25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
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            "name": "CBS",
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
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          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "ABC",
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "central bank",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.63,
      "volume_total_usd": 199.49,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "bank canada policy",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FRP70PLXJ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RCX0GXDHW8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26OCT-H0",
      "question": "Will Bank of Canada Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "Maintains rate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Maintains rate: The central bank's official announcement of its policy decision at the referenced meeting, confirmed by Kalshi staff by October 28, 2026, resolves whether the named institution maintains its benchmark rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PVNSBR8PQ5",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26OCT-H25",
      "question": "Will Bank of Canada Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "Hike 25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Hike 25bps: The central bank's official announcement of its policy decision at the referenced meeting, confirmed by Kalshi staff by October 28, 2026, resolves whether the named institution maintains its benchmark rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "The New York Times",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X05JLK25T6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RCX0GXDHW8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26OCT-H26",
      "question": "Will Bank of Canada Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "Hike >25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hike >25bps: The central bank's official announcement of its policy decision at the referenced meeting, confirmed by Kalshi staff by October 28, 2026, resolves whether the named institution maintains its benchmark rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T13:29:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of >25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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