{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC7WQY1QW6",
  "slug": "kxcbdecisionjapan-26jun15",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Japan raise its policy rate at its June meeting?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "boj-monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "japan-economics",
    "central-bank-decision",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of Japan's policy rate decision at its June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting. Kalshi structures the event as five mutually exclusive discrete outcome tiers: cut more than 25bps, cut 25bps, hold, hike 25bps, or hike more than 25bps. All five markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination of the official BOJ announcement. Resolution is set for June 16, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YNC2633992",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HL7MJHPGR8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC7WQY1QW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUN15-C25P",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Japan Cut more than 25bps at the June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?",
      "description": "Cut more than 25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut more than 25bps: Kalshi staff determination of the monetary policy decision announcement at the specified central bank's June 2026 meeting, resolved by June 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "central bank",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "central bank",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 46.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 80.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-29B17B1987",
      "also_on": null,
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        "bank japan policy",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1N41NM38L4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC7WQY1QW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUN15-C25",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Japan Cut 25bps at the June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?",
      "description": "Cut 25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut 25bps: Kalshi staff determination of the monetary policy decision announcement at the specified central bank's June 2026 meeting, resolved by June 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut 25bps at June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "central bank",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "central bank",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.68,
      "volume_total_usd": 43.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1758666995",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLHSNG6J36",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bank japan policy",
        "boj",
        "japan",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rate-cut"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5ZLZ9ZV570",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC7WQY1QW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUN15-HOLD",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?",
      "description": "Maintain current rate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Maintain current rate: Kalshi staff determination of the monetary policy decision announcement at the specified central bank's June 2026 meeting, resolved by June 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Maintain current rate at June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "central bank",
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            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "BBC",
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            "name": "Associated Press",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "NBC",
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            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
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            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
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          {
            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
            "url": null,
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 676.71,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
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      "tags": [
        "bank japan policy",
        "boj",
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        "monetary-policy"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YNC2633992",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC7WQY1QW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUN15-H25",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?",
      "description": "Hike 25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hike 25bps: Kalshi staff determination of the monetary policy decision announcement at the specified central bank's June 2026 meeting, resolved by June 16, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T02:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Hike 25bps at June 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "central bank",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "MarketWatch",
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            "name": "BBC",
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            "name": "Associated Press",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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          },
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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