{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q18GXSXJZ1",
  "slug": "kxcbdecisionmexico-26aug06",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico cut its benchmark interest rate at its August meeting?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "banco-de-mexico",
    "interest-rates",
    "monetary-policy",
    "central-bank",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of Mexico Governing Board's policy rate decision at its August 2026 meeting. All seven markets are on Kalshi, each pricing a discrete rate action: cuts exceeding 50bps, a 50bp cut, a 25bp cut, a hold, a 25bp hike, a 50bp hike, or a hike exceeding 50bps. Together they form a full probability distribution across the policy rate outcome space. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination based on the Bank of Mexico's official post-meeting announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DBXMLS33D9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.87,
    "implied_probability": 0.87
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XG9ST11T41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q18GXSXJZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26AUG06-C50P",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Cut more than 50bps at the August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Cut more than 50bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut more than 50bps: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its August 2026 Governing Board meeting will determine whether the central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "central bank",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.3171,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-14CABB39B7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HHSV9D2508",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q18GXSXJZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26AUG06-C50",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 50bps at the August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Cut 50bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut 50bps: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its August 2026 Governing Board meeting will determine whether the central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut 50bps at August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "central bank",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 113.31280000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-60A6118F2E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico policy",
        "banxico",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rate-cut"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B1KGVX2154",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q18GXSXJZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26AUG06-C25",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Cut 25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut 25bps: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its August 2026 Governing Board meeting will determine whether the central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut 25bps at August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "Semafor",
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            "name": "MarketWatch",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "BBC",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
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            "name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data",
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            "name": "Axios",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "The New York Times",
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            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBXMLS33D9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q18GXSXJZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26AUG06-HOLD",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Maintain current rate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Maintain current rate: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its August 2026 Governing Board meeting will determine whether the central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Maintain current rate at August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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