{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYY7NMN7Q3",
  "slug": "kxcbdecisionmexico-26jun25",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico cut its policy rate at its June rate decision?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "banco-de-mexico",
    "monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "central-banking",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of Mexico Governing Board's policy rate decision expected on June 25, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as seven discrete binary contracts spanning hike, hold, and cut outcomes at specific increments. Each contract resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination against Banxico's official announcement. No directional single-contract counterpart exists here; the full distribution is priced across mutually exclusive rate-move tiers.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WN98Z1MN93",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X96647TYM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYY7NMN7Q3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26JUN25-C50P",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Cut more than 50bps at the June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Cut more than 50bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut more than 50bps: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its June 2026 Governing Board meeting resolves whether the referenced outcome occurs, with determination by Kalshi staff on or after June 25, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-25T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-25T18:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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        "source": "central bank",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
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            "name": "Bloomberg Terminal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RGX9ZXQKK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYY7NMN7Q3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26JUN25-C50",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 50bps at the June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Cut 50bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut 50bps: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its June 2026 Governing Board meeting resolves whether the referenced outcome occurs, with determination by Kalshi staff on or after June 25, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-25T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-25T18:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut 50bps at June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "central bank",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 86.94,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB0F61D0A4",
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        "bank mexico interest",
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        "rate-cut"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VXW6SVH6B8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYY7NMN7Q3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26JUN25-C25",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
      "description": "Cut 25bps",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Cut 25bps: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its June 2026 Governing Board meeting resolves whether the referenced outcome occurs, with determination by Kalshi staff on or after June 25, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-25T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-25T18:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut 25bps at June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WN98Z1MN93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYY7NMN7Q3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26JUN25-HOLD",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Maintain current rate: The Bank of Mexico's official announcement following its June 2026 Governing Board meeting resolves whether the referenced outcome occurs, with determination by Kalshi staff on or after June 25, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Maintain current rate at June Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).",
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