{
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    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JW90SHJ984",
  "slug": "kxccl-26junalbd",
  "question": "Carnival Corporation report million available lower berth days in Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      24600000,
      24700000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 23700000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 24000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 24300000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 24600000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 24700000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 24800000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 24900000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25200000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 25500000,
        "prob": 0
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "carnival-cruise",
    "available-berth-days",
    "q2-2026",
    "financial-metrics",
    "shipping-capacity"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Carnival Corporation's available lower berth days reported in Q2 2026 earnings disclosures. Kalshi structures the event as nine binary strike thresholds, ranging from 23.7 million to 25.5 million, each asking whether the reported figure exceeds that level. Taken together, the strikes form an implied probability distribution over the capacity outcome. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against Carnival Corporation's official earnings filing.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9RD1JWSDK1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-23700000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 23.7 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 23.7 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 23.7 million: Carnival Corporation's Q2 2026 available lower berth days as reported in earnings disclosures, verified against Fiscal.ai, resolve by July 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 23700000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 123.69,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 23700000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EAF5AD5ACD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "berth days",
        "capacity",
        "carnival",
        "carnival corporation available",
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        "q2 2026"
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24000000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 24 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 24 million: Carnival Corporation's Q2 2026 available lower berth days as reported in earnings disclosures, verified against Fiscal.ai, resolve by July 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 24000000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K24N6600R8",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24300000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 24.3 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 24300000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24600000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 24.6 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 24.6 million: Carnival Corporation's Q2 2026 available lower berth days as reported in earnings disclosures, verified against Fiscal.ai, resolve by July 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 24600000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 24600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E17AA3491A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "berth days",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9RD1JWSDK1",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24700000",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report above 24.7 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24800000",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report above 24.8 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 24.8 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 24.8 million: Carnival Corporation's Q2 2026 available lower berth days as reported in earnings disclosures, verified against Fiscal.ai, resolve by July 23, 2026.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-24900000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 24.9 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 24900000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCCL-26JUNALBD-25200000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 25.2 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 25.2 million",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.2 million: Carnival Corporation's Q2 2026 available lower berth days as reported in earnings disclosures, verified against Fiscal.ai, resolve by July 23, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 25200000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 25.5 million available lower berth days in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.5 million: Carnival Corporation's Q2 2026 available lower berth days as reported in earnings disclosures, verified against Fiscal.ai, resolve by July 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T14:47:39Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 25500000.0 available lower berth days in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "score": 84,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.22,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-53643F3FE1",
      "also_on": null,
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        "cruise",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JW90SHJ984",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}