{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS1NKLYT14",
  "slug": "kxccla-28janalbd",
  "question": "Carnival Corporation report million available lower berth days in 2026",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      97300000,
      97400000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 97000000,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97100000,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97200000,
        "prob": 92
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97300000,
        "prob": 82
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97400000,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97500000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97600000,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97700000,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97800000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 97900000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 98000000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 98100000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 98200000,
        "prob": 5
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "carnival-cruise",
    "cruise-industry",
    "berth-capacity",
    "shipping-metrics",
    "2028-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Carnival Corporation's total available lower berth days reported for full-year 2026. Kalshi structures the event as 13 binary strike thresholds, ranging from 97 million to 98.2 million in 100,000-day increments. Each contract resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination against Carnival's disclosed capacity figure. Resolution is set for March 2028, allowing time for Carnival's annual filing to confirm the full-year figure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4S026S36F2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.22,
    "implied_probability": 0.22
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G2N83M0TG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS1NKLYT14",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97000000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97000000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.98,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3061.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 97000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-44A2CE5F8E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "capacity",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9J2C0VWGT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS1NKLYT14",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97100000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97.1 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.1 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97100000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "last_price": 0.93,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4820.097,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 97100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6BE5C2B59E",
      "also_on": null,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3BJFJ1YGY1",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97200000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97.2 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.2 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97200000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.92,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2992.7692,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 97200000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A79FE9EC0",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W0BNDKGWG1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS1NKLYT14",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97.3 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.3 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97300000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6508.7863,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 97300000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CCD3A6618C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "capacity",
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        "cruise"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S026S36F2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS1NKLYT14",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97400000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.4 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97.4 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.4 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97400000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.22,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LL378N0TM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS1NKLYT14",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97500000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.5 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97.5 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.5 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97500000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "last_price": 0.17,
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    {
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      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.6 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.6 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97600000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "last_price": 0.11,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BGSYG8RDQ6",
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      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.7 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 97.7 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.7 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97700000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97800000.0",
      "question": "Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.8 million available lower berth days in 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 97.8 million: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's reported available lower berth days figure in its 2026 annual financial statements, resolved by March 31, 2028.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Carnival Corporation reports Above 97800000.0 available lower berth days in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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