{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
  "slug": "kxchinaai-26aug10",
  "question": "Will a top Chinese AI company make a major announcement during the week of August 3rd?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "chinese-ai",
    "technology-competition",
    "weekly-event",
    "2026",
    "corporate-leadership"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which Chinese AI company holds the top overall rank on LM Arena's leaderboard as of August 10, 2026. Kalshi lists nine discrete outcome contracts, one per named company, priced as mutually exclusive binary outcomes. All nine resolve via Kalshi staff determination against a single snapshot read. The authoritative source is the LM Arena overall leaderboard, excluding style-controlled rankings.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FSWY6NBSP4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G47T4CV7N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-MOON",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "Moonshot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Moonshot: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2,
      "volume_total_usd": 61.96,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7DA814532B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance",
        "moonshot"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FSWY6NBSP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-ALIB",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "Alibaba",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alibaba: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 143.46,
      "volume_total_usd": 5708.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9EDF90CFE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alibaba",
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKB8RZC1L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-BAID",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "Baidu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Baidu: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Baidu is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CCB3650C4A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "baidu",
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MNJZLGYYN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-DEEP",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "DeepSeek",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "DeepSeek: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If DeepSeek is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 73.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-43D436F5DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance",
        "deepseek"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8J2QV4Q4X2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-BYTE",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "ByteDance",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "ByteDance: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ByteDance is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CEC76FFDD5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bytedance",
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-49YBGPPS80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-XIAO",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "Xiaomi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Xiaomi: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xiaomi is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.49,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EC587E13F6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance",
        "xiaomi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PH87TQ8219",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-MINI",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "MiniMax",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "MiniMax: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If MiniMax is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B068E3FBA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance",
        "minimax"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5PS5S9SZX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-ZAI",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "Z.ai",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Z.ai: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Z.ai is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.31,
      "volume_total_usd": 78.71,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-39B0D674D9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SH8VS2DVZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCHINAAI-26AUG10-TENC",
      "question": "Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd?",
      "description": "Tencent",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tencent: The top-ranked listed company on LM Arena's overall leaderboard (no style control) as of August 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tencent is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.\n\nTied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.\n\nIf multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A3964C8FB5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chinese ai",
        "company performance",
        "tencent"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LZ8BLPY6L8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}