{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
  "slug": "kxclacton2nd-clactonbyelection26sep01-2",
  "question": "Will the second-place candidate in the Clacton by-election receive fewer votes than the third-place candidate?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "clacton-constituency",
    "election-2027",
    "by-election",
    "second-place"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party or candidate finishes second in the 2026 Clacton by-election. Kalshi lists each contender as a separate binary contract, resolved via Kalshi staff determination against certified results. The authoritative source is the official UK electoral authority certifying final vote share rankings for the Clacton constituency. All contracts close August 13, 2027, allowing time for official result certification.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VSZZ69JZV7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.74,
    "implied_probability": 0.74
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QKFT287JN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-REF",
      "question": "Will Reform UK finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Reform UK",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Reform UK: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 250.5552,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "reform uk",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VSZZ69JZV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-BIN",
      "question": "Will Count Binface Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Count Binface Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Count Binface Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Count Binface Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.74,
      "implied_probability": 0.74,
      "volume_24h_usd": 275.983,
      "volume_total_usd": 10478.5036,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "count binface party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-253JMT9QK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-CON",
      "question": "Will Conservative Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Conservative Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Conservative Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Conservative Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.990000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "conservative party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XSL919D2Y2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-MON",
      "question": "Will Official Monster Raving Loony Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Official Monster Raving Loony Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Official Monster Raving Loony Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Official Monster Raving Loony Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 60.462,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "official monster raving",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGDKNZWP42",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-HER",
      "question": "Will Heritage Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Heritage Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Heritage Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Heritage Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "heritage party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SFM6SVX0S4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-LAB",
      "question": "Will Labour Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Labour Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Labour Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 42.8074,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "labour party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5M7RTB6F19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-REC",
      "question": "Will Reclaim Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Reclaim Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Reclaim Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Reclaim Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 152.845,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "reclaim party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BJJQ7PZ6M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-FOR",
      "question": "Will Forward Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Forward Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Forward Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forward Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "forward party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4C741V614",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-CLI",
      "question": "Will Climate Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Climate Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Climate Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Climate Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "climate party",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PVD6LVQ8P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-BRI",
      "question": "Will British Democratic Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "British Democratic Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "British Democratic Party: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If British Democratic Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 35.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "british democratic party",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7PBNR6F066",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-REU",
      "question": "Will Rejoin EU finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Rejoin EU",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rejoin EU: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rejoin EU finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "rejoin eu",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L5XZX34400",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-TON",
      "question": "Will Tony Mack finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Tony Mack",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tony Mack: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tony Mack (as an Independent) finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "candidate",
        "clacton",
        "tony mack",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BSWK3GBD29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-GRA",
      "question": "Will Ollie Granger finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Ollie Granger",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ollie Granger: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ollie Granger (as an Independent) finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "candidate",
        "clacton",
        "ollie granger",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CNQGCRG5H5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-WOR",
      "question": "Will Luke Worley finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Luke Worley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Luke Worley: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Luke Worley (as an Independent) finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22.94,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "candidate",
        "clacton",
        "luke worley",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RYXZM3L1Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-COR",
      "question": "Will Piers Corbyn finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "Piers Corbyn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Piers Corbyn: Official election authority certifying results in the named geography determines final vote share rank for the listed party in the 2026 by-election, resolved by Kalshi staff on or after August 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Piers Corbyn (as an Independent) finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.620000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "by-election",
        "candidate",
        "clacton",
        "piers corbyn",
        "uk politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9Y08KTTWB0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}