{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y4F5PN76W2",
  "slug": "kxcmg-26julrest",
  "question": "Chipotle total restaurants, Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      4180,
      4200
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 4100,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4120,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4130,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4140,
        "prob": 100
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      {
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        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 4160,
        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 4170,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4180,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4200,
        "prob": 0
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "chipotle",
    "restaurant-count",
    "q2-2026",
    "expansion-metrics",
    "financial-performance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Chipotle Mexican Grill's total restaurant count as reported in its Q2 2026 earnings filing. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds, from 4,100 to 4,200 units, each asking whether the reported count exceeds a fixed level. The implied distribution across strikes prices the market's consensus range for net unit growth. Kalshi staff determine resolution using Chipotle's filed quarterly financial statements, with settlement expected by August 21, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0D7FG0K6D1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0,
    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y4F5PN76W2",
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      "question": "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4100 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4100",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4100: Kalshi staff determination based on the listed company's filed quarterly financial statements or earnings report, resolved by August 21, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T20:32:14Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T20:32:14Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. reports Above 4100 total restaurant count in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nTo be clear, this market will resolve based on Chipotle's reported total company-owned restaurants.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "implied_probability": 1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 927.45,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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        "rules_raw": "If Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. reports Above 4120 total restaurant count in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nTo be clear, this market will resolve based on Chipotle's reported total company-owned restaurants.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCMG-26JULREST-4140",
      "question": "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4140 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCMG-26JULREST-4150",
      "question": "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4150 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4160 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4200 total restaurant count in Q2 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. reports Above 4200 total restaurant count in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nTo be clear, this market will resolve based on Chipotle's reported total company-owned restaurants.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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