{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
  "slug": "kxcompanylayoff-27jan01",
  "question": "Will any companies conduct layoffs this year?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "layoffs",
    "tech-employment",
    "corporate-workforce",
    "2027",
    "event-occurrence"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These nine Kalshi markets track whether each named company conducts layoffs by January 1, 2027. Each contract is binary and company-specific, allowing traders to price workforce reduction risk independently across the cohort. All markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against public company disclosures. The threshold definition of \"layoffs\" is not standardized across firms, introducing comparability risk at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QZL0LTY192",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.88,
    "implied_probability": 0.88
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J0VXMB18H3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOMPANYLAYOFF-27JAN01-NVDA",
      "question": "Will NVIDIA issue layoffs this year?",
      "description": "NVIDIA",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "NVIDIA: Kalshi staff determination whether the named company issues layoffs by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If  NVIDIA announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "MSNBC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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          {
            "name": "MarketWatch",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC News",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS News",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "company/entity",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
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            "name": "NBC News",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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        "layoffs",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DMFC83BY49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOMPANYLAYOFF-27JAN01-NFLX",
      "question": "Will Netflix issue layoffs this year?",
      "description": "Netflix",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Netflix: Kalshi staff determination whether the named company issues layoffs by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If  Netflix announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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            "name": "MarketWatch",
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            "name": "ABC News",
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CBS News",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "company/entity",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "NBC News",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.34,
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      "question_id": "CMX-4808A0FE69",
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        "layoffs",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B7QQ81FCF7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOMPANYLAYOFF-27JAN01-AMZN",
      "question": "Will Amazon issue layoffs this year?",
      "description": "Amazon",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Amazon: Kalshi staff determination whether the named company issues layoffs by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If  Amazon announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "MSNBC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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            "name": "MarketWatch",
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          {
            "name": "ABC News",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
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          {
            "name": "CBS News",
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          {
            "name": "company/entity",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
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            "name": "NBC News",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-86XJ3441V6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOMPANYLAYOFF-27JAN01-GOOG",
      "question": "Will Alphabet issue layoffs this year?",
      "description": "Alphabet",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alphabet: Kalshi staff determination whether the named company issues layoffs by January 1, 2027.",
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        "rules_raw": "If  Alphabet announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "The New York Times",
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
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            "name": "NBC News",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N0RQRSFGQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOMPANYLAYOFF-27JAN01-AAPL",
      "question": "Will Apple issue layoffs this year?",
      "description": "Apple",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Apple: Kalshi staff determination whether the named company issues layoffs by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If  Apple announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "The New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "NBC News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.22,
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      "question_id": "CMX-63AACE17E9",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
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