{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L39B8GZQD6",
  "slug": "kxcompanystakeryanair-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk purchase Ryanair by a specified date?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "elon-musk",
    "ryanair",
    "m-and-a",
    "aviation",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Elon Musk, Tesla, or SpaceX acquires a stake in Ryanair before January 1, 2027. A single Kalshi binary contract covers the event, resolving via Kalshi staff determination based on Financial Times reporting. No parallel Polymarket structure exists, so there is no cross-platform directional contrast to note. Resolution requires confirmed acquisition reporting before the January 2027 deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V8M7VRYW61",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.02,
    "implied_probability": 0.02
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V8M7VRYW61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L39B8GZQD6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOMPANYSTAKERYANAIR-27JAN01",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination based on reporting from The Financial Times regarding whether Elon Musk, Tesla, or SpaceX acquires a stake in Ryanair by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nTaking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Financial Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ft.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 2283.0496,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F3FA80B243",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "elon musk",
        "ownership",
        "ryanair",
        "spacex",
        "stake",
        "tesla"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L39B8GZQD6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}