{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K0L95NMQ77",
  "slug": "kxcoreund-26dec10",
  "question": "Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "core-cpi",
    "inflation-target",
    "us-economics",
    "2026",
    "economic-indicators"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether year-over-year core CPI falls below 2.2% at any point in 2026. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is the authoritative publisher of the core Consumer Price Index. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using BLS data. The market closes December 10, 2026, with resolution by December 17, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M31SBCL9L3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M31SBCL9L3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K0L95NMQ77",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCOREUND-26DEC10-T2.2",
      "question": "Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Core Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation rate for 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-17T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9964.6659,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-2A43823476",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "core cpi",
        "cpi",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-K0L95NMQ77",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}