{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
  "slug": "kxcpi-26nov",
  "question": "Will the Consumer Price Index be released for November?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "inflation",
    "cpi",
    "november-2026",
    "us-economics",
    "economic-indicator"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics' month-over-month CPI change for November 2026. Kalshi structures coverage as seven sequential strike thresholds, from -0.1% to 0.5%, each pricing the probability that the print exceeds that level. The implied distribution across strikes allows traders to infer a full probability density over the monthly CPI print. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, using the BLS official release as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DQQJM2LQ47",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.42,
    "implied_probability": 0.42,
    "as_of": "2026-08-28T14:01:25.783Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SW0MC09471",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T-0.1",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above -0.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -0.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3401.2492,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-43D57DB225",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "november-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQ3GR09Z84",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T0.0",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.0%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1382.2640000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-B10A7D6054",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "november-2026"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CN4XL7RGG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T0.1",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1860.192,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-D0837E2962",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "november-2026"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QJGK7RMMH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T0.2",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.2%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T14:01:25.783Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 1757.8564,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-4E3ACAB352",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "november-2026"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L3SCF1KZX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T0.3",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.3%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.3% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T01:01:11.017Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.6259,
      "volume_total_usd": 1647.4059,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-E5729DC70D",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T0.4",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.4%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26NOV-T0.5",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.5%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index monthly change for November 2026 resolves this market on March 11, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-11T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}