{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
  "slug": "kxcpi-26oct",
  "question": "Will CPI be released in October?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-inflation",
    "cpi-october",
    "economic-indicator",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 month-over-month CPI print. Kalshi structures coverage as a ladder of seven binary strike thresholds, from -0.1% to 0.5%, letting traders express views across the full distribution of outcomes. All seven markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the BLS release expected by February 2027. The cumulative structure means implied probabilities should decline monotonically across ascending strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1CRMWTF784",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1CRMWTF784",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T-0.1",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above -0.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -0.1%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2039.9148,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-796113F6DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FNH5K0GPT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T0.0",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.0%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 774.5478,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-168D252976",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P7YWFZ9K69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T0.1",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.1%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 772.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-3698821552",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W97DK0JVZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T0.2",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.2%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 83.41760000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-D5E3969F74",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HWDMFVFMD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T0.3",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.3%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.3% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Source Agency",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1532.2824,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-FD973E54D6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P0WK8T9209",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T0.4",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.4%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1655.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-6EAC15C76B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K412KBXHH9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPI-26OCT-T0.5",
      "question": "Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in October 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.5%: Bureau of Labor Statistics' October 2026 Consumer Price Index report, released by February 2027, determines whether the monthly percent change exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-10T13:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-09T14:56:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 53.9463,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-00679B261D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "october-2026"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}