{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
  "slug": "kxcpicore-26may",
  "question": "Core CPI month-over-month, May 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      0.1,
      0.2
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.1,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.2,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.3,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.4,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.5,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.6,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.7,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.8,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.9,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "cpi-core",
    "inflation-measurement",
    "us-economy",
    "monthly-economic-data",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [
    "cpi",
    "jobs",
    "gdp",
    "fomc"
  ],
  "catalyst_dates": [
    {
      "date": "2026-06-05",
      "type": "jobs",
      "label": "Employment Situation",
      "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/ces/"
    }
  ],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics month-over-month Core CPI print for May 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds from 0.0% to 1.0%. Each contract prices the probability that the print exceeds a given strike level. Kalshi staff determination resolves all contracts against the official BLS release on June 10, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2HDBKP2QF4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CT1CBXPCG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.0",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2219.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-792F3A3441",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7K5VMX3Y4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.1",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 115.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 14159.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-20D7FC0F7F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2HDBKP2QF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.2",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 199.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 5524.01,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A254DAF76",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9GK7W9T5F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.3",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1694.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-E49CE6FA36",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-51QK7BWKR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.4",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 86.87,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-780D87DC64",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3LGT75J5D5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.5",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA684CBEEE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JPX5TCZ68",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.6",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.6% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-C3F58FD43A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-20W60SHK67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.7",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.7% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for May 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.72,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-39B2361920",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "cpi core",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H369100CF8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CF4GQ5PDX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICORE-26MAY-T0.8",
      "question": "Will CPI Core rise more than 0.8% in May?",
      "description": "Above 0.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Core Consumer Price Index monthly change for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:25:00Z",
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