{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
  "slug": "kxcpicoreyoy-26sep",
  "question": "Will core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) meet the specified threshold?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "core-inflation",
    "cpi",
    "us-economics",
    "2026",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics core CPI year-over-year print for September 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of 15 binary strike thresholds, spanning 2.1% to 3.5% in 10-basis-point increments. The implied probability distribution can be read by differencing adjacent strikes. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, referencing the BLS release expected around October 14, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7F2PV4QY60",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7F2PV4QY60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.1",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1920.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3AAAB2107",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S16WR7D3D5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.2",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.2%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1709.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-9A3738612B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0SB664L176",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.3",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.3%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1776.72,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-96B7FA95C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NGQVTRH386",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.4",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.4%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 86.13,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-E276CA828B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7YDS7BH4K5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.5",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.5%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-3A26123FD5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7G27820F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.6",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.6%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.6% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 97.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-B039354343",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CKFT03L1Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.7",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.7%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.7% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-440351E450",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J0FJPX5QG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.8",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.8%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.8% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 664.95,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-74260A3332",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core",
        "core cpi yoy",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L91P181W39",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6P410PY45",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.9",
      "question": "Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.9%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics core Consumer Price Index for the 12-month period ending September 2026, published by October 21, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-14T12:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.9% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 60.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.9,
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