{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
  "slug": "kxcpindex-26aug12",
  "question": "Will the CPI-U index increase in July?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "cpi-inflation",
    "us-economic-data",
    "consumer-prices",
    "2026",
    "monthly-economic-indicator"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the July 2026 not-seasonally-adjusted CPI-U index level, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on August 19, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds ranging from 333.6 to 335.8, each asking whether the realized index level exceeds a given strike. Taken together, the strikes imply a market-derived probability distribution over the index level, functioning as a synthetic continuous pricing mechanism. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination based on the BLS release.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q4ZG340J3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.98,
    "implied_probability": 0.98
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-99G77LCT99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T333.6",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 333.6 ?",
      "description": "Above 333.6",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 333.6: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 333.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3682.3776000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 334,
      "question_id": "CMX-F8F03D78AC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QL1S7K9SL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T333.8",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 333.8 ?",
      "description": "Above 333.8",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 333.8: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 333.8 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.69,
      "implied_probability": 0.69,
      "volume_24h_usd": 155.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 904.6727999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 334,
      "question_id": "CMX-56A557269A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1N1NRRFF71",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T334.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.0 ?",
      "description": "Above 334.0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 334.0: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 334.0 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 512.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 334,
      "question_id": "CMX-F3A115196C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FLP4JKP0H5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T334.2",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.2 ?",
      "description": "Above 334.2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 334.2: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 334.2 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 216.2307,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 334,
      "question_id": "CMX-DF2885353D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LRTH0F9DH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T334.4",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.4 ?",
      "description": "Above 334.4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 334.4: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 334.4 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 134.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 334,
      "question_id": "CMX-7D4EA53D41",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-10M63Q41G0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T334.6",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.6 ?",
      "description": "Above 334.6",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 334.6: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 334.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 401.52000000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 335,
      "question_id": "CMX-EC40533B8A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6GJZH0L379",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T334.8",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.8 ?",
      "description": "Above 334.8",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 334.8: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 334.8 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 229.26,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 335,
      "question_id": "CMX-498CD0FE4F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-30MW3KC415",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YFH953NS5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPINDEX-26AUG12-T335.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 335.0 ?",
      "description": "Above 335.0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 335.0: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U index release on August 19, 2026 determines whether the July 2026 reading exceeds the threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 is above 335.0 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for July 2026. Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for July 2026. This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for July 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "BLS - CPI-U",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "BLS - CPI-U",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 139.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 335,
      "question_id": "CMX-175D908143",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "july-2026"
      ],
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