{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
  "slug": "kxcpiyoy-26jul",
  "question": "Will inflation in July 2026 be measured by year-over-year CPI?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "inflation",
    "cpi",
    "us-economy",
    "macroeconomics",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics' CPI year-over-year reading for July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds from 3.0% to 4.9%, each asking whether realized inflation will exceed a given level. The spread of implied probabilities across strikes maps a market-implied distribution of the July 2026 print. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using the BLS release expected by November 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZXCDCMGCH1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.07,
    "implied_probability": 0.07
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JD8NCRD4C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.0",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.0%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 253.44,
      "volume_total_usd": 1529.3519999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-122CDC6523",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BGGSB9PQ59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.1",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19.8,
      "volume_total_usd": 3774.7412999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-15F766E8A8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPL4SCG493",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.2",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.2%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 61.083000000000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 5757.12,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-9E02CA709B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HT1W458FX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.3",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.3%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1371.5548000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 18994.7296,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-04259C5992",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SQRFLB8FG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.4",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.4%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 107.7868,
      "volume_total_usd": 16887.5608,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-197A90AF4F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SPMB89YTQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.5",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.5%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 183.6274,
      "volume_total_usd": 10167.9798,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-FC11B66C2A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z1VTNGGP89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.6",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.6%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.6% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 101.18039999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 2983.0404,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-CE61CA2785",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FMZ27BZXX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.7",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.7%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.7% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 93.952,
      "volume_total_usd": 4794.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-036116DC01",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1JG7HWTSN9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.8",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.8%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.400000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 1455.2636,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-906F54A860",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q55QHTW1G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.9",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.9%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.9% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.07,
      "volume_total_usd": 141.9242,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-D3DFA60A50",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PW62CHBDT9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.0",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.0%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.0% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 167.28060000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-4A332543A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B4ZPM8P2S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.1",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 143.2125,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-7D0C50CCFB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TY2ZPWNHY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.2",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.2%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 1021.6628000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-6DAC40219C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DYB6SF4S35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.3",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.3%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 203.95340000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-6130AFD844",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S3YXSNXYC6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.4",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.4%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 134.531,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC4BF2F721",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQ5NDDHLS1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.5",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.5%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.5% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.36,
      "volume_total_usd": 99.5148,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-EC947B2ECD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M5RPB62ZC7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.6",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.6% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.6%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.6% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 189.759,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-BB7722F912",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XLM3ZH7RK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.7",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.7%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.7% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 37.7624,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-868753AE2B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7Y44YWQWD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.8",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.8%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.8% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 69.8614,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-F541501743",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZXCDCMGCH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.9",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.9%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.9% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 452.55070000000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-EADA2EDED2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7B10HHFSJ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T5.0",
      "question": "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in July 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.0%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending July 2026, published by November 11, 2026, determines whether the inflation rate met the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 5.0% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIn the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the\ngovernment shutdown",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 81.6582,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-85896DE942",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us cpi inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XP5XZNK7W3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}