{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
  "slug": "kxcryptoreturny-26",
  "question": "Will at least one of these cryptocurrencies have a positive return in 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-returns",
    "2027-resolution",
    "performance-comparison",
    "price-appreciation",
    "asset-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether ten named cryptocurrencies each post a positive full-year return in 2026. Each contract is a separate binary on a single asset, allowing traders to express relative views across BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and six altcoins. All ten are structured identically: Kalshi staff determination against CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price, measured from the January 2026 opening level. Resolution is set for December 31, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4H40973S06",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.12,
    "implied_probability": 0.12
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DW8BMFJ4J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LINK",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Chainlink (LINK)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chainlink (LINK): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chainlink has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 171.70680000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 16615.643600000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C54DA588A3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "chainlink",
        "crypto",
        "link"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4H40973S06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-BTC",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Bitcoin (BTC)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bitcoin (BTC): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bitcoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.0468,
      "volume_total_usd": 14983.501199999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F438A3D6E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FW18Z2F1D7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-ETH",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Ethereum (ETH)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ethereum (ETH): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ethereum has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.809,
      "volume_total_usd": 12908.691400000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7D8CDA0A7A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "eth",
        "ethereum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4Y688DZK71",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LTC",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Litecoin (LTC)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Litecoin (LTC): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Litecoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 1987.3117000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3EF1421381",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "litecoin",
        "ltc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K4JW8J8297",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOGE",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Dogecoin (DOGE)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dogecoin (DOGE): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dogecoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6812.9364,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F392536F1B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "doge",
        "dogecoin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RL0WBTT5F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SHIBA",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Shiba Inu (SHIB)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Shiba Inu (SHIB): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Shiba Inu has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2250.5248,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9AB35A068B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "shib",
        "shiba inu"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MVSZBWTB67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XRP",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Ripple (XRP)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ripple (XRP): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ripple has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "volume_24h_usd": 135.8041,
      "volume_total_usd": 35364.5082,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FE131B59D8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4CP87Y4BJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOT",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Polkadot (DOT)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Polkadot (DOT): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Polkadot has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.9435,
      "volume_total_usd": 4231.9245,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A215662301",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "dot",
        "polkadot"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BHPGXDJZQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XLM",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Stellar Lumens (XLM)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Stellar Lumens (XLM): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Stellar Lumens has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.7696000000000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 5431.2032,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3C369149AB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "stellar lumens",
        "xlm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5T7ZTCWHL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SOL",
      "question": "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?",
      "description": "Solana (SOL)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Solana (SOL): CF Benchmarks' year-end 2026 price for the named cryptocurrency, with positive return calculated from January 1, 2026 opening price, determined by Kalshi staff by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Solana has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nReturn will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 56.509899999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 22739.6253,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7906B619CE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "crypto",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}