{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTBT00NHW6",
  "slug": "kxdemprogressivesenatesweep-26nov03",
  "question": "Will progressives sweep the Democratic Senate primaries?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate",
    "democratic-primaries",
    "progressive-politics",
    "2027-elections",
    "primary-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether a defined slate of progressive Democratic Senate candidates sweep their respective primary elections. Resolution depends on Kalshi staff determination of whether all listed candidates win their primaries by November 3, 2026. A single loss among the listed candidates defeats the \"all win\" condition. No cross-platform structural contrast applies; only one market exists under this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NL5BF40P78",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.58,
    "implied_probability": 0.58
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NL5BF40P78",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTBT00NHW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXDEMPROGRESSIVESENATESWEEP-26NOV03",
      "question": "Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether all listed Democratic Senate candidates win their respective primary elections by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primary elections: Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow OR Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and Ed Markey in Massachusetts, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails.\n\n\n This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bloomberg",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division",
            "url": "https://dppa.un.org/en/electoral-assistance-division",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official election authority conducting election",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.58,
      "implied_probability": 0.58,
      "volume_24h_usd": 64.96,
      "volume_total_usd": 36804.189999999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic senate candidates",
        "democrats",
        "primaries",
        "progressives",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GTBT00NHW6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}